Massive Black Hole Seed Formation in Strong X-ray Environments at High Redshift
Semi-analytic merger-tree modeling with observationally calibrated X-ray irradiation (guided by HERA’s 21 cm non-detections) shows that strong X-ray backgrounds boost H2 formation, steering most overdense halos off the classic direct-collapse path. Including baryonic streaming motion preserves an atomic-cooling route in a subset of cases, still yielding massive seeds. The model predicts seeds with M_BH ≳ 10^4 Msun by z ≃ 15 and an abundance ≈10^-4 Mpc^-3, sufficient to account for SMBHs verified by JWST spectroscopy at 3<z<6. X-ray ionization prevents formation of extremely overmassive BHs comparable to their hosts, while establishing BH-to-stellar mass ratios ≃0.01–0.1 at seeding.